Domino Theory…

so, the domino theory was pretty dumb. you know, the whole “Communists will take over the world if we don’t win in Vietnam” thing just hasn’t happened.

but with yesterday’s assassination of Benazir Bhutto, i have to wonder about the current spread of Islamofacism. and yes, i realize this term is controversial – but i still think it fits.

it seems to me that there was no real threat of radical Islam (as a form of government) spreading either before or immediately after 9/11. while there was quite a bit of unrest, the very fact that the movement’s adherents were forced to use terrorist attacks supports this contention: terrorism is a classic tool of the weaker side in asymmetric warfare – not normally a tool of an established, power-stable government.

but since 9/11, with the mishandling of the justified war in Afghanistan and insane adventure in Iraq, fascist “Islam” has had a real boost.

particularly in the person of Pervez Musharraf.

please bear with me a moment! i’m not saying that President Musharraf is an evil or “bad” person. he may or may not be – i don’t know the man. but his authoritarian form of government, propped up by the United States government, seems a dangerous thing. particularly when radicals have had the example of Afghanistan for so long.

we (the US) have supported Musharraf (and his unconstitutional, military-backed rule) because he was our “ally” in the “War on Terror.” where has al-Qaeda been hiding out? where is al-Qaeda hiding out, for that matter?

Pakistan. because Musharraf can’t (or won’t) do anything about it. and, because he cannot afford the loss of face it would entail, he won’t allow US forces to do anything about it either.

when Musharraf falls from power – and it is a when, not if – who will fill the vacuum in an authoritarianism-conditioned Pakistan? who will come to power in this nuclear-armed country that has lost its most powerful moderate politician, populated by Muslims who have every right to be angry with the US for supporting a non-democratic government, and infested with fundamentalist terrorists (who are essentially free to do whatever the want)?

i doubt it will be someone as moderate as Bhutto. given the stakes (which are not the value of Dick Cheney’s stock portfolio, whatever the current US administration may think), i don’t think al-Qaeda will just sit back and let Pakistan go democratic (and secular).

i don’t know who was behind the assassination, and don’t really care. but if the current administration continues with its foreign policy path, i doubt that any good will come to Pakistan for a long time.

realizing this has been a bit disjointed and rambling, my basic contention is this: whatever the intended result, all the US has really succeeded in doing in the “War on Terror” is create the Islamofascism the administration’s supporters claim the war is intended to suppress, and the newest fruits of this ham-handed midwifery will possibly (and even probably) be another failed (or at least weakened) state in Pakistan.

quote of the day:

“Fascism, the more it considers and observes the future and the development of humanity quite apart from political considerations of the moment, believes neither in the possibility nor the utility of perpetual peace. It thus repudiates the doctrine of Pacifism — born of a renunciation of the struggle and an act of cowardice in the face of sacrifice. War alone brings up to its highest tension all human energy and puts the stamp of nobility upon the peoples who have courage to meet it.” – Benito Mussolini, The Doctrine of Fascism

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One Response to “Domino Theory…”

  1. Lowcountry Blogs » Blog Archive » Continued Reaction to Bhutto’s Assassination Says:

    […] jj: when Musharraf falls from power – and it is a when, not if – who will fill the vacuum in an authoritarianism-conditioned Pakistan? who will come to power in this nuclear-armed country that has lost its most powerful moderate politician, populated by Muslims who have every right to be angry with the US for supporting a non-democratic government, and infested with fundamentalist terrorists (who are essentially free to do whatever the want)? […]

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